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Subject: Re: Update




--On onsdag, januar 22, 2003 23:18:49 -0500 Mark Allman <mallman@grc.nasa.gov> wrote:

  + we think the people fitting in the 3 patterns in the "3 of 5"
    set and not the "2 of 3" are more useful in nomcom than the set
    of people fitting in one of the 3 patterns that pass the "2 of
    3" rule and not the "3 of 5" rule

Just thinking about the last 5 meetings before the selection of the current nomcom... Yokohama, Minneapolis(02), Salt Lake City, London, Minneapolis(01).

The patterns that fit 2 out of 3, but not 3 out of 5, are:

- Yokohama + Minneapolis
- Yokohama + Salt Lake City
- Minneapolis + Salt Lake City

In all 3 cases, no other attendance since San Diego (if ever).
The patterns that fit 3 out of 5 but not 2 out of 3 are:

- Yokohama + London + Minneapolis(01)
- Minneapolis(02) + London + Minneapolis(01)
- Salt Lake City + London + Minneapolis(01)

My own opinion is that "3 of 5" is better than "2 of 3" for the two
above reasons (especially the min).  But, the difference is in 15%
of the pool -- and, I don't think that matters terribly much in the
end.  Even if you go to something like "4 of 8" you still see
significant overlap with the "2 of last 3" group (again roughly
70%).

So, maybe we are sweating the small stuff here.  I have said before
that I think we should do something fairly different.  But, that has
zero consensus.  That's fine.  So, maybe it is time to Just Pick
Some "M of N" - with the knowledge that what we're really setting is
the lower bound (i.e., how many meetings until eligible) rather than
really gauging one's attendance record over time.

I think we're sweating the small stuff. But I think it's a marginal improvement, so worth doing.




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